Should we be worried? Let’s keep tabs.

The following article projecting Canadian Federal debt and deficits as a fraction of GDP appeared in Feb 2010 here.  I want to keep tabs, remember the forecasts, so that we might check their math later.

The implicit assumption is a non-correlation of government fiscal policy and GDP growth (or contraction).  Another is that the maximum error they could have in their projections is +/- 1% of GDP growth.  Boy, they must be good!  Bow to the economic masters of the universe!  Can you tell I am skeptical?

So, let’s just keep score, shall we?  We’ll revisit this page in a year or two.  Here comes QE2 down south….

Continue reading “Should we be worried? Let’s keep tabs.”